Delays and loss to follow-up before treatment of drug-resistant TB following implementation of Xpert MTB/RIF in South Africa: A retrospective cohort study
Abstract
Background
South Africa has a large
burden of rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (RR-TB), with 18,734
patients diagnosed in 2014. The number of diagnosed patients has
increased substantially with the introduction of the Xpert
MTB/RIF test, used for tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis for all
patients with presumptive TB. Routine aggregate data suggest a
large treatment gap (pre-treatment loss to follow-up) between
the numbers of patients with laboratory-confirmed RR-TB and
those reported to have started second-line treatment. We aimed
to assess the impact of Xpert MTB/RIF implementation on the
delay to treatment initiation and loss to follow-up before
second-line treatment for RR-TB across South Africa.
Methods and findings
A nationwide
retrospective cohort study was conducted to assess second-line
treatment initiation and treatment delay among
laboratory-diagnosed RR-TB patients. Cohorts, including
approximately 300 sequentially diagnosed RR-TB patients per
South African province, were drawn from the years 2011 and 2013,
i.e., before and after Xpert implementation. Patients with prior
laboratory RR-TB diagnoses within 6 mo and currently treated
patients were excluded. Treatment initiation was determined
through data linkage with national and local treatment
registers, medical record review, interviews with health care
staff, and direct contact with patients or household members.
Additional laboratory data were used to track cases. National
estimates of the percentage of patients who initiated treatment
and time to treatment were weighted to account for the sampling
design.
There were 2,508 and 2,528 eligible patients
in the 2011 and 2013 cohorts, respectively; 92% were newly
diagnosed with RR-TB (no prior RR-TB diagnoses). Nationally,
among the 2,340 and 2,311 new RR-TB patients in the 2011 and
2013 cohorts, 55% (95% CI 53%–57%) and 63% (95% CI
61%–65%), respectively, started treatment within 6 mo of
laboratory receipt of their diagnostic specimen (p < 0.001).
However, in 2013, there was no difference in the percentage of
patients who initiated treatment at 6 mo between the 1,368 new
RR-TB patients diagnosed by Xpert (62%, 95% CI 59%–65%)
and the 943 diagnosed by other methods (64%, 95% CI
61%–67%) (p = 0.39). The median time to treatment
decreased from 44 d (interquartile range [IQR] 20–69) in
2011 to 22 d (IQR 2–43) in 2013 (p < 0.001). In 2013,
across the nine provinces, there were substantial variations in
both treatment initiation (range 51%–73% by 6 mo) and
median time to treatment (range 15–36 d, n = 1,450), and
only 53% of the 1,448 new RR-TB patients who received treatment
were recorded in the national RR-TB register.
This
retrospective study is limited by the lack of information to
assess reasons for non-initiation of treatment, particularly
pre-treatment mortality data. Other limitations include the use
of names and dates of birth to locate patient-level data,
potentially resulting in missed treatment initiation among some
patients.
Conclusions
In 2013, there was a
large treatment gap for RR-TB in South Africa that varied
significantly across provinces. Xpert implementation, while
reducing treatment delay, had not contributed substantially to
reducing the treatment gap in 2013. However, given improved case
detection with Xpert, a larger proportion of RR-TB patients
overall have received treatment, with reduced delays.
Nonetheless, strategies to further improve linkage to treatment
for all diagnosed RR-TB patients are urgently required.
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Source:
PLOS Medicine